Wolverhampton – 5:30 –
Looks quite competitive. Not much value unless something drifts to the extreme. Sunny Street would have fair stats at 13/2 and less sp. Not overly keen and no value. Interesting if Zipster comes back after disappointing last time out when a high stat horse. Stepping up in distance. Could show better today. Pitney was another decent stat horse last time and was running on. Tricky looking race. Would consider Pitney and Zipster most interesting but funny looking race and I doubt there will be any value. I would need one of these two to get to double figures to even think about it.
Rosa Applause is short priced and may get even shorter. Could give a little bit of value to something. See You Tonight may have half a hope if priced 5/1 – 10/1. I’d need this to drift to a giant price and return in betting guide to give any hope. Even then Fanshawe doesn’t fill me with any confidence although owner Peter Harris does. There may be a chance if you get this at big odds. Alabama Belle would have decent ew claims if priced 11/1 – 14/1. The strength is the place. I would need it to drift to 20+ and be backed down. I can’t see the place on Betfair ever being anything so looks a pointless exercise unless something remarkable happens.
Mrs Morrell looks very short and no value. Havana Bell has decent stats at 13/2 and less sp. Unlikely to be any value. Moonfire is another of the trio at short odds and no value. The others in the field are the only hope of value. Passamezzo is a decent looking horse and very keen on debut. Should appreciate stepping back in trip. Not the easiest to assess. Kevin Ryan has never had a sto over 20/1 so that may be some guide. I imagine it will be shorter. Could have a hope but not the easiest to assess. A similar story for Stars Away. Bought out of Balding’s stable and with Fion McSharry. This grey filly showed good pace on debut and will appreciate a drop in distance. Looks a lively sort and it wouldn’t be a surprise to see it have half a hope at big odds. If available at decent ew odds may have a chance although taking a chance. Being with an unfashionable trainer may be bigger odds.